The middle-ground public in Israel is enthused by "Kadima" for two reasons: its tendency to choose "new" political arrangements, saving it the need for self-criticism – and its gradual recognition of the fact that the settlements are a menace to its tranquility and achievements. Sharon identified this trend, just as Olmert did.
And indeed, Olmert and "Kadima" may get the wheels of the political process going, however it is unclear as to whether they will actually do so because the right wing of Kadima will oppose this; reconnecting with the Likud appears to be a likely scenario – and the heads of the Security Forum (Mofaz and Dichter) adhere to a belligerent policy. The complicated situation in our region calls for adjusted calculation, taking into account international reaction, and resistance capacity. It is doubtful whether these can be found in "Kadima".
